Etienne Upgraded to Hurricane

President Etienne Upgraded From Desert Storm to Hurricane as He Approaches Stratford, Ontario


HURRICANE ETIENNE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT SATURDAY 18 AUGUST 2007.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT

... ETIENNE GAINING STRENGHT AS APPROACHING STRATFORD...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE ETIENNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.5 N AND LONGITUDE 57.0 W... ABOUT 400 NAUTICAL MILES OR 644 KM SOUTHWEST OF STRATFORD, ONTARIO . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 997 MB. ETIENNE IS MOVING EAST BY NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS... 52 KM/H.


2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH
AUG 19 3.00 AM 41.90N 41.54.W 997 45 83 HURRICANE - CATAGORY 1
AUG 18 3.00 AM 41.90N 41.54.W 997 45 83 HURRICANE - CATAGORY 1
AUG 17 3.00 AM 41.90N 41.54.W 997 45 83 HURRICANE - CATAGORY 1


3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
3Z SURFACE ANALYSIS WOULD PUT ETIENNE BACK IN STRATFORD IN TIME FOR THE NEXT CLUB BOARD MEETING.

B. PROGNOSTIC
WE MAINTAIN THE SAME TRACK AS PREVIOUS BUT SLOW ETIENNE DOWN AS DISCUSSED IN PREVIOUS MESSAGE. ETIENNE STILL SHOWING ITS LEISURELY DESERT CHARACTER WITH CONVECTION APPEARING AROUND HIS CENTRE. AS HE CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS STRATFORD WILL PICK UP SPEED AND ENERGY. A RE-ENGERIZED ETIENNE WILL BE BACK TO ONCE AGAIN LEAD THE CLUB TO GREATER HEIGHTS AND GLORY. ALL CLUB MEMBERS ARE WARNED TO PREPARE FOR HIS ARRIVAL.


END MC